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ACUS11 KWNS 170318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170317
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-170445-

Mesoscale Discussion 0762
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1017 PM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018

Areas affected...the northeast South Dakota vicinity

Concerning...Tornado Watch 180...

Valid 170317Z - 170445Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 180 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe risk continues to diminish across the WW area.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows storms weakening/becoming more disorganized over the past hour, in conjunction with
cooling/stabilization of the boundary layer and a resulting
reassertion of capping with respect to surface-based convection.
Low-level warm advection will continue to support elevated
convection, and given degree of CAPE above the capping level, some
risk for hail may linger for another hour or two. Meanwhile, trends
indicate that a WW may not need to be continued beyond the scheduled
05Z expiration time for WW 180.

..Goss.. 06/17/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON 44099837 44479879 45619894 46239748 45859621 44679635
44179709 44099837



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