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ACUS11 KWNS 132323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132323
INZ000-140130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0403
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0623 PM CDT Sun May 13 2018

Areas affected...Northern/Central IN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 132323Z - 140130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Strong winds may accompany convection as it spreads across
parts of Indiana this evening.

DISCUSSION...Low-level warm advection induced deep convection across
western IA earlier this morning. This activity has maintained some
organization as it spread quickly across IA/northern IL into
northwest IN. Small cluster of likely elevated storms is racing
east-southeast at roughly 50kt and may turn a bit more southeast as
it propagates toward east-central IN over the next few hours. Given
the speed of the convection there is some concern for damaging winds
with this activity; however, likely elevated nature of these
updrafts may limit damaging wind potential. While it's not entirely
clear how efficient downdrafts will be with this cluster the speed
of the convection demands some attention for damaging winds. WW will
not be issued until this threat is more clear.

..Darrow/Guyer.. 05/13/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON 41248698 40868486 40098505 40148626 40618750 41248698



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ACUS11 KWNS 191719
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191719
SCZ000-GAZ000-191845-

Mesoscale Discussion 0403
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1219 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

Areas affected...Southeast GA...SC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 89...

Valid 191719Z - 191845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 89 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat is shifting into SC.

DISCUSSION...Severe squall line has evolved along leading edge of
strong large-scale forcing for ascent. LEWP is evident over
southwest SC and this forced line of convection is surging northeast
at roughly 45kt. Damaging winds appear possible with these storms as
they spread across the northeastern half of ww89. While a tornado
can not be ruled out with the squall line, primary tornado threat
remains with discrete structures ahead of the linear MCS.

..Darrow.. 04/19/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 31768317 34498244 34497980 31768061 31768317



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