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ACUS11 KWNS 010451
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010451
KSZ000-NEZ000-010615-
Mesoscale Discussion 0971
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 PM CDT Sat Jun 30 2018
Areas affected...Portions of central/northeast Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 251...
Valid 010451Z - 010615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 251
continues.
SUMMARY...While there is a residual threat for a few damaging gusts,
storms should weaken over the next few hours, reducing the severe
threat.
DISCUSSION...A small line of strong/severe storms is moving
east/southeast around 40-45 kt this evening. Despite increasing
convective inhibition with eastward extent, strong forced ascent
along the cold pool is sustaining robust convection within the line,
and damaging/severe gusts have occurred intermittently with the
line. Still, stable air with eastward extent, as well as weaker
storm-relative inflow, should lead to a downward intensity trend
over then next several hours. While a localized severe threat may
continue through about 06Z, new watch issuance is not expected.
..Picca.. 07/01/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...
LAT...LON 38349973 40149810 40069648 39179632 38479736 38109903
38349973
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