• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0971

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, July 01, 2018 04:51:51
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    ACUS11 KWNS 010451
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 010451
    KSZ000-NEZ000-010615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0971
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1151 PM CDT Sat Jun 30 2018

    Areas affected...Portions of central/northeast Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 251...

    Valid 010451Z - 010615Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 251
    continues.

    SUMMARY...While there is a residual threat for a few damaging gusts,
    storms should weaken over the next few hours, reducing the severe
    threat.

    DISCUSSION...A small line of strong/severe storms is moving
    east/southeast around 40-45 kt this evening. Despite increasing
    convective inhibition with eastward extent, strong forced ascent
    along the cold pool is sustaining robust convection within the line,
    and damaging/severe gusts have occurred intermittently with the
    line. Still, stable air with eastward extent, as well as weaker
    storm-relative inflow, should lead to a downward intensity trend
    over then next several hours. While a localized severe threat may
    continue through about 06Z, new watch issuance is not expected.

    ..Picca.. 07/01/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

    LAT...LON 38349973 40149810 40069648 39179632 38479736 38109903
    38349973



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