1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0868

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, June 25, 2018 00:06:57
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1529885223-7074-2047
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 250006
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250006
    KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-250130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0868
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0706 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

    Areas affected...northeast New Mexico...the Texas and Oklahoma
    Panhandles and southwest Kansas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

    Valid 250006Z - 250130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Storms are expected to eventually develop southeast into
    the southern High Plains of northeast NM into the Texas and Oklahoma
    Panhandles and southwest Kansas. Isolated damaging wind and large
    hail will be the main threats.

    DISCUSSION...Storms continue developing southeast along a cold front
    moving through eastern CO. The downstream boundary layer has only
    partially recovered from the morning MCS with temperatures in the
    upper 70s to low 80s F and dewpoints only in the low 60s resulting
    in MLCAPE from 1500 J/kg over southwest KS to 3000 J/kg over the TX
    Panhandle. Moreover, a capping inversion is in place as sampled by
    the 00Z Dodge City RAOB. Despite the less than optimal thermodynamic environment, deep forcing for ascent within frontal zone will likely
    erode the inversion sufficiently for storms to continue developing
    southeast along this boundary. At least a couple of storms could
    develop over the higher terrain of northeast NM and move east.
    Effective bulk shear has increased with the approach of a mid-level
    jet rotating through the base of a progressive shortwave trough and
    will continue to support potential for organized storm structures
    including a few supercells and bowing segments.

    ..Dial/Grams.. 06/25/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 36590333 37000206 38100170 38679972 37639931 35780085
    35190338 36040391 36590333



    ------------=_1529885223-7074-2047
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1529885223-7074-2047--

    --- SBBSecho 3.04-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online - capitolcityonline.net (1:2320/105)