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ACUS11 KWNS 172025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172025
COZ000-WYZ000-UTZ000-172300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0769
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0325 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

Areas affected...Northeast UT...Southwest WY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 172025Z - 172300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong/locally severe thunderstorms are possible
this afternoon into early evening.

DISCUSSION...A few strong thunderstorms have developed across
northeast UT, with building cumulus also noted across southwest WY.
Modest heating and sufficient low-level moisture has resulted in
MLCAPE values to increase to near 500 J/kg, and additional
thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon. Low-level
southeasterly flow veering to moderate southwesterly flow aloft is
resulting in relatively long hodographs, and there is some potential
for at least weak supercell structures to develop, with an attendant
threat of marginally severe hail and strong wind gusts. The overall
threat is expected to remain too low for watch issuance.

..Dean/Grams.. 06/17/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RIW...GJT...SLC...

LAT...LON 41941161 41971111 42110958 42010892 40630907 40290911
40320971 40331005 40381050 40381097 40451164 41071164
41941161



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