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ACUS11 KWNS 281940
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281939
COZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-282115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0557
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0239 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Areas affected...The Central High Plains/Front Range of WY and CO

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 281939Z - 282115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms will be noted across
the High Plains/Front Range of WY/CO. Large hail is the primary
risk, although a tornado can not be ruled out.

DISCUSSION...Early-afternoon water-vapor imagery depicts a
well-defined short-wave trough ejecting across the Four Corners into
central CO. Large-scale forcing for ascent is expected to aid an
arcing band of convection that should intensify over the higher
terrain then spread across the Front Range/High Plains. While
boundary-layer clouds have been stubborn to erode north of the
Palmer Divide, it appears substantially more breaks in this cloud
deck will soon enhance surface heating/buoyancy. Severe convection
with large hail is the primary risk.

..Darrow/Hart.. 05/28/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON 38390511 39560551 43070573 43120402 40970357 38460373
38390511



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