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ACUS11 KWNS 281819
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281819
WYZ000-COZ000-281945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0552
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0119 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

Areas affected...North-Central CO/South-Central WY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 281819Z - 281945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered strong thunderstorms are expected across the
higher terrain from north-central CO into south-central WY. Hail is
the primary risk with this activity.

DISCUSSION...Large-scale ascent appears to be increasing across much
of western CO into south-central WY, per marked increase in
mid/high-level cloudiness and cooling within WV imagery. Deep
convection is gradually increasing in areal coverage ahead of
short-wave trough across this region and further development is
expected over the next few hours. This activity should spread
northeast into the mid afternoon hours within an increasingly
buoyant regime. Forecast soundings suggest hail is the primary
concern with this initial convection but the threat for organized
severe may be limited until updrafts migrate east of the higher
terrain.

..Darrow/Hart.. 05/28/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...RIW...GJT...

LAT...LON 40440756 42040707 42810621 42560520 41630521 40130595
40440756



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