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ACUS11 KWNS 120233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120232
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-120430-

Mesoscale Discussion 0711
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0932 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018

Areas affected...northeast Kansas...northwest Missouri...southern
Iowa

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172...173...

Valid 120232Z - 120430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172, 173
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat of damaging wind and hail continues across the
watch area, and may extend into the remainder of southeast Kansas
and western Missouri this evening.

DISCUSSION...An MCS stretches from northeast KS into south central
IA as of 0230Z. Northern portions of the line previously contained
measured severe winds, but, may begin to weaken a bit as the most
unstable air remains to the southwest. The bulk of the MCS was
beginning to propagate in a more southerly direction, with locally
damaging outflow winds along with embedded hail cores. A very
unstable air mass extends from OK across eastern KS, and this air
mass should maintain the MCS as it travels across the severe
thunderstorm watch. Another watch may be needed later this evening
for portions of southeast KS and western MO, should the storms still
be severe at that time.

Farther north into central IA, the threat appears more marginal for
both wind and hail, with a gradual weakening trend expected as these
storms encounter a stabilizing air mass due to cool east winds.

..Jewell.. 06/12/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 38799704 39469663 39929558 40169467 40459417 40819399
40919351 40649296 39799270 38909261 38329300 37889357
37629427 37549491 37639559 37879638 38129679 38799704



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