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ACUS11 KWNS 112312
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112311
KSZ000-OKZ000-120145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0710
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0611 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018

Areas affected...western Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 112311Z - 120145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated storms capable of hail and wind are possible
across western Oklahoma this evening, but a watch is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows a substantial CU field across
western OK where hot temperatures have removed CIN along the
dryline. Meanwhile, robust low-level moisture remains in place with southeasterly surface winds. The result is very strong instability,
and a zone of uncapped air. Surface convergence near the dryline may
be sufficient for a few storms this evening, with weakly veering
winds with height supporting a south or southwestward motion. Hail
and locally damaging wind will be possible should storms initiate.

..Jewell/Hart.. 06/11/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON 36949814 35589840 34919868 34739911 34659946 34839983
35169993 35689968 36319930 36719902 36939876 37059842
36949814



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