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ACUS11 KWNS 042346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042346
TXZ000-050145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0643
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0646 PM CDT Mon Jun 04 2018

Areas affected...East Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 042346Z - 050145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated storms may pose a hail or localized wind threat
this evening, but expected coverage should preclude the need for a
watch.

DISCUSSION...Isolated cells have recently developed near a stalled
front across eastern TX, with a very warm and moist air mass west of
the boundary. This area is also under the influence of an old MCV,
which may be enhancing convergence a bit as the unstable air
gradually spreads northeast across the front. Winds aloft remain
relatively weak, suggesting short-lived cells are possible in the
vicinity of the front. This threat may persist for several hours
through the evening as the weak low-level warm advection persists.
Marginal hail or a locally strong downburst are possible.

..Jewell/Grams.. 06/04/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON 30759451 31299621 31629715 32119756 32649702 32789627
32549536 32179456 31829397 31309369 30899380 30759451



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