• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0881

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, June 26, 2018 01:02:31
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    ACUS11 KWNS 260102
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260101
    NCZ000-SCZ000-260200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0881
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0801 PM CDT Mon Jun 25 2018

    Areas affected...Central SC and part of southern NC

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 218...

    Valid 260101Z - 260200Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 218
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts remain a severe-weather threat through
    9-10 PM EDT across the remaining portion of WW 218, from central
    South Carolina into part of southern North Carolina. Beyond that
    time, widespread severe storms will not be expected, precluding the
    need for any additional watch issuance.

    DISCUSSION...Convective overturning across much of the eastern part
    of WW 218, including coastal and inland counties of southeast NC and
    northeast SC, will limit the severe-weather threat during the rest
    of the evening across these areas of the watch. This factor will
    also limit the spatial extent the eastward-moving band of storms in
    the central Carolinas is able to persist through north-central SC
    and adjacent NC yet this evening. Latest radar trends indicated
    that spatial extent has narrowed to 15-25 miles, and as the
    environment stabilizes, the overall severe threat should wane.

    A little farther north, radar imagery indicated a bowing line of
    storms moving through Moore County NC. Although the airmass is
    beginning to stabilize, a residual pocket of buoyancy per objective
    analyses extended from the NC counties of Moore to Sampson in
    vicinity of a surface boundary. Trends suggest this bowing line
    should advance east along this boundary through 02-03Z, with locally strong/damaging wind gusts possible.

    ..Peters.. 06/26/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

    LAT...LON 33808150 34838038 35567952 35607891 35317839 35037816
    34727819 34677851 34807916 34847946 34527989 34178058
    33928087 33688125 33808150



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