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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0872

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, June 25, 2018 04:53:30
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 250453
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250453
    KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-250600-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0872
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1153 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

    Areas affected...Northeast NM...TX Panhandle...northwest OK and
    south central KS

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 215...216...

    Valid 250453Z - 250600Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 215, 216
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms will persist over the southern
    High Plains from northeast NM, the TX Panhandle, northwest OK into
    south central KS next couple hours. WW will locally be expanded east
    into north central OK, and severe storms may also begin to affect
    the western part of Wichita CWA. Downstream trends are being
    monitored, but it remains uncertain whether spatial/temporal extent
    of threat will be sufficient for a new WW.

    DISCUSSION...Expansive squall line continues southeast from south
    central KS through northwest OK into northeast NM. Strongest storms
    are currently located from northwest OK into south central KS along
    strongest frontal surge. The downstream atmosphere is less unstable
    with only partial recovery from earlier storms. However, degree of
    forcing and effective bulk shear within frontal zone should help to
    maintain an organized MCS next couple hours. Farther west across the
    TX panhandle, storms are farther behind leading frontal surge and
    less organized due to strong capping issues. Nevertheless, some
    threat for a few damaging gusts and hail will persist next hour or
    two.

    ..Dial.. 06/25/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 35720329 36000158 36350019 37159922 37769856 37969791
    37509706 36569730 35749849 35179989 34840137 34660284
    34840427 35560412 35720329



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