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ACUS11 KWNS 122356
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122356
MIZ000-WIZ000-130230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0717
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CDT Tue Jun 12 2018

Areas affected...much of central and northern Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 122356Z - 130230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered storms are expected to form this evening, with a
marginal hail and wind threat.

DISCUSSION...Visible imagery shows a CU field increasing from near
MSP eastward across northern WI, ahead of a developing cold front
and where strong height falls are expected later tonight. Low-level
winds will remain relatively veered/westerly, but the increasing
large-scale lift should result in scattered storms forming over WI,
and possible moving into Upper MI. Lengthening hodographs may
support a few long-lived storms, and MLCAPE on the order of 1000
J/kg may support marginal hail or wind. However, given the strong
shortwave trough, trends will be monitored for greater severe
potential this evening.

..Jewell/Hart.. 06/12/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON 45499247 46638813 46538711 45938668 44648716 44348769
44318917 44329113 44559184 44849236 45139263 45499247



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