1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0645

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, June 05, 2018 19:06:05
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1528225569-1857-10434
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 051906
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 051905
    NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-052130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0645
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0205 PM CDT Tue Jun 05 2018

    Areas affected...eastern Ohio...the southern half of
    Pennsylvania...and parts of West Virginia east to the Mid-Atlantic
    Coast

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 051905Z - 052130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated occurrences of strong/damaging wind gusts, along
    with small hail, will be possible as scattered low-topped convective
    cells move across the region. A WW is not anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...The latest radar and visible satellite loops over the
    MCD area indicate an increase in convection over the past hour,
    coincident with afternoon heating of the boundary layer beneath cold
    mid-level temperatures. Resulting CAPE has fostered convective
    enhancement, near a cold front roughly bisecting Pennsylvania from
    west to east. Strong/nearly unidirectional west-northwest flow
    aloft is indicated across the region, which is promoting fast-moving
    cells. As such, a few of the stronger cells will likely produce momentum-enhanced downdrafts capable of minor wind damage through
    the afternoon. The loss of peak heating will allow rapid airmass stabilization, and a corresponding decrease in convective intensity
    into the early evening hours.

    ..Goss/Weiss.. 06/05/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...LWX...PBZ...CLE...

    LAT...LON 39968088 40728212 41188140 41247874 40647456 39937402
    38627475 39207759 39968088



    ------------=_1528225569-1857-10434
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1528225569-1857-10434--

    --- SBBSecho 3.04-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online - capitolcityonline.net (1:2320/105)