• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0569

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, May 29, 2018 22:05:33
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    ACUS11 KWNS 292205
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 292204
    IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-300000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0569
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0504 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

    Areas affected...Southwest Iowa...Central and Northeast
    Kansas...Northwest Missouri...Southeast Nebraska

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132...

    Valid 292204Z - 300000Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Storms near the eastern periphery of WW 132 will pose a
    severe wind and hail threat, but will likely decrease in intensity
    as they move east. Storms will move into WW 132 from the west later
    this evening. In the short term, southwestern counties will have a
    tornado threat with ongoing supercells near Dodge City, KS. As the
    evening progresses, storms will continue east and bring with them a
    greater risk for severe wind gusts and hail.

    DISCUSSION...Storms that fired along an outflow boundary in eastern
    Kansas continue near the eastern boundary of WW 132. A storm east of
    Wichita has shown a persistent MRMS MESH core of 1 inch. KICT VAD
    profile shows 0-6 km shear values of 45-50 kts and RAP analysis
    shows MLCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg. Shear and instability
    generally decrease from west to east within the discussion area so
    the expectation is that the most eastern storms will decrease in
    intensity as they progress east. The main threat will be from storms approaching from the west. Currently, supercell storms near DDC are
    ongoing and have exhibited strong rotation on radar. The western
    storms are expected to congeal into a line with time. Severe wind
    gusts and hail will the the primary threats through the evening.

    ..Wendt.. 05/29/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

    LAT...LON 41149583 41089461 40739466 39889516 39019575 38359597
    37989648 37899766 37709873 37589958 37510026 37880029
    38559914 38659896 38909852 39729793 40629708 41189631
    41149583



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