• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0991

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, July 03, 2018 04:09:00
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    ACUS11 KWNS 030408
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030408
    NEZ000-030515-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0991
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1108 PM CDT Mon Jul 02 2018

    Areas affected...Portions of central NE

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255...

    Valid 030408Z - 030515Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 255
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe hail/wind threat lingers across mainly
    western portions of WW 255. With the severe threat expected to
    remain very isolated overnight, WW 255 will likely be allowed to
    expire at 05Z as scheduled.

    DISCUSSION...Recent VWP from KLNX radar shows a southerly low-level
    jet of 30-45 kt is present mainly in the 0-2 km AGL layer. This is
    supporting continued isolated convection across mainly western
    portions of WW 255 as of 04Z. Current expectations are for an
    isolated severe hail/wind risk to persist for the next hour or two
    given sufficient shear and strong instability present across central
    NE. Continued nocturnal cooling will act to increase convective
    inhibition, and ongoing thunderstorms will become increasingly
    elevated overnight. Given current radar trends, the overall severe
    threat will likely remain isolated late this evening, and WW 255
    will likely be allowed to expire at 05Z.

    ..Gleason.. 07/03/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...

    LAT...LON 41760158 42070026 41340024 41210157 41760158



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