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ACUS11 KWNS 262350
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262349
ARZ000-MOZ000-270145-
Mesoscale Discussion 0897
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018
Areas affected...South-central MO into northern AR
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 222...223...226...
Valid 262349Z - 270145Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 222, 223,
226 continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging winds remain the primary severe-weather hazard
this evening across the valid portions of severe thunderstorm
watches 222 and 223 in south-central Missouri and extreme northwest
Arkansas, and as the band of storms advances into the western part
of WW 226. Given the forward speed (35-40 kt) of the line of storms
moving through the remaining parts of WW 222 and WW 223, both
watches could be canceled early.
DISCUSSION...Trends in mosaic radar imagery indicated two
well-defined forward-propagating mesoscale convective complexes have
developed across MO, and are progressing to the east-southeast at
35-40 kt. Each complex has a well-established cold pool, while the
downstream environment remains moderately unstable with DCAPE of
1600-1700 J/kg from northwest AR to southern MO. These factors
favor a continued threat for damaging wind gusts as the primary
severe-weather threat, as storms move through the remaining valid
portions of WW 222 and 223 into WW 226.
..Peters.. 06/26/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...TSA...
LAT...LON 35979359 36279322 36909244 37019183 37069128 36929097
36579048 36179023 35589035 35099083 35029100 35009198
35189305 35479373 35509380 35769384 35979359
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