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ACUS11 KWNS 200233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200233
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-200430-

Mesoscale Discussion 0799
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0933 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

Areas affected...Much of central/western Kansas...Oklahoma Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192...

Valid 200233Z - 200430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues across much of Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 0192. An additional Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be needed
downstream within the hour.

DISCUSSION...Earlier multicell clusters/transient supercells have
grown upscale into an MCS with two primary linear segments. One
segment is currently propagating east into northeast Kansas, with
the other segment moving southeast across southwest Kansas. Within
the last two hours, multiple reports of marginal severe wind gusts
have been received in association with both linear segments,
suggesting that damaging winds have become the predominant threat.
With effective bulk shear vectors oriented roughly perpendicular to
the linear segments, the MCS is expected to remain organized, with a
damaging wind threat continuing.

Large hail remains a concern for a supercell located in Texas
County, Oklahoma. Given adequate effective bulk shear/buoyancy and
0-3km helicity greater than 250 m2/s2, the severe hail threat may
continue for at least a few more hours.

As such, an additional Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be needed
downstream within the next hour.

..Squitieri/Jirak/Guyer.. 06/20/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...
PUB...

LAT...LON 37870263 38240236 39250128 39650010 39579899 39949817
40479707 40339656 39779657 39019689 38279750 37679828
37079890 36679957 36570041 36650132 36770201 37870263



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