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ACUS11 KWNS 032052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032052
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-032245-
Mesoscale Discussion 0998
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CDT Tue Jul 03 2018
Areas affected...Central/Southern Georgia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 032052Z - 032245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible with storms
moving into a moderately unstable airmass. Organization and coverage
of storms should remain low. A WW is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Storms that have initiated along the sea-breeze front
in southeastern South Carolina have moved into a moderately unstable environment with 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE. While deep-layer shear
has increase somewhat with the approach of a low pressure system to
the east, values still are meager with only 15-20 per KJGX VAD
profiles. Forecast soundings and 7.3 micron watery vapor imagery
indicate relatively dry air in the mid-levels. The strongest storms
will have downdrafts capable of producing an isolated severe wind
gust. Given the overall disorganized nature of the storms, a WW is
not anticipated.
..Wendt/Hart.. 07/03/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...
LAT...LON 33188336 33268251 32958208 32378164 31538184 30988244
30798331 30818479 31288538 32108521 33188336
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