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ACUS11 KWNS 140246
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140246
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-140345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0729
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0946 PM CDT Wed Jun 13 2018

Areas affected...Eastern Pennsylvania...northern New Jersey...and
extreme southeast New York

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 140246Z - 140345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Cluster of strong to severe storms will continue to move
east. After collaboration with WFO PHI, it has been decided a small
weather watch will not be issued and any further threat will be
handled by local warnings.

DISCUSSION...The persistent cluster of strong storms in eastern
Pennsylvania will continue to move southeast through the early
overnight hours. This cluster has started to exhibit MCV type
characteristics in the past hour which may lead to a continued
tornado threat. In addition, the storms are moving into an
increasingly rich low-level theta-e environment with dewpoints
around 70 degrees which may also help the storms to persist. Given
the small threat area, a watch will not be issued and any further
threat will be handled by local office warnings.

..Bentley/Weiss.. 06/14/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...

LAT...LON 41057540 41067495 41257432 41047404 40807387 40547369
40167381 40037395 40007439 40077484 40437577 40737572
40897586 40977572 41057540



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