• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0726

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, June 13, 2018 23:12:42
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    ACUS11 KWNS 132312
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 132312
    NYZ000-PAZ000-140045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0726
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0612 PM CDT Wed Jun 13 2018

    Areas affected...Western and central New York and far northern
    Pennsylvania

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 175...

    Valid 132312Z - 140045Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 175
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues for areas along and
    ahead of the front this evening. Severe weather intensity will wane
    after sunset.

    DISCUSSION...There are two primary areas of severe weather concern
    this evening near the eastern shore of Lake Ontario and in south
    central New York. While the northern area has been the most
    organized through the afternoon and early evening, expect this line
    to become increasingly disorganized as it interacts with an
    increasingly stable airmass to the east this evening. Additional
    cells are starting to develop in the more unstable airmass south of
    this activity. These cells may organize into a few strong to severe
    storms this evening given effective shear of 50 to 55 knots and
    MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg. Expect severe threat to wane across watch
    175 after sunset as the boundary layer stabilizes.

    ..Bentley.. 06/13/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

    LAT...LON 41227551 41617961 42007976 42347980 43457919 44977498
    44977497 45007483 45027483 45007402 44587393 44507391
    44437391 42907408 42387423 41257534 41247534 41247536
    41247537 41247537 41247541 41227545 41227548 41227550
    41227551 41227551



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