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ACUS11 KWNS 302030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302030
OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-302230-
Mesoscale Discussion 0577
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CDT Wed May 30 2018
Areas affected...Southern Lower Michigan...Western and Central
Ohio...Extreme Northeast Indiana
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 302030Z - 302230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A few marginally severe wind gusts remain possible for the
next few hours across the region. A WW is not currently anticipated.
DISCUSSION...Widespread convection has developed within a confluent
band along the northeast periphery of Tropical Depression Alberto. A
few reports of tree damage were received along with sub-marginal
wind gusts of up to 35-45 kts measured across southwest Ohio. Ample
surface heating, with resultant 1000 J/kg MLCAPE currently reside
ahead of the aforementioned convective band across portions of
southern Michigan and and western/central Ohio. As such, a few more
instances of gusty winds remain possible until diurnal cooling and
subsequent stabilization set in.
Given the isolated and marginal extent of the damaging wind threat,
a WW issuance is not currently anticipated.
..Squitieri/Cook/Weiss.. 05/30/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...RLX...CLE...ILN... DTX...IWX...GRR...
LAT...LON 39950502 40240480 40360445 40310376 40180331 39800286
39540258 39120245 38600233 37970226 37420230 36820249
36490286 36290334 36320402 36420466 36820490 37860511
38900518 39950502
43098605 43138558 43048504 42728435 42218352 41618303 40828258
40248237 39558239 39058257 38928282 39058322 39238365
39448405 39818435 40308446 40708446 41048459 41418495
41738531 43098605
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