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ACUS11 KWNS 242306
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242306
TXZ000-NMZ000-250100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0513
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0606 PM CDT Thu May 24 2018

Areas affected...Big Bend region of Texas and far southeast New
Mexico

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 242306Z - 250100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have developed along the higher terrain
across the Big Bend region of Texas. These thunderstorms will move south-southeast and have the potential to produce large hail and
strong wind gusts before weakening after sunset. Due to the isolated
nature of the threat, a watch will not be issued.

DISCUSSION...A couple of supercell thunderstorms have developed
along the higher terrain of the Big Bend region of Texas within a
moist, low-level-upslope regime. Most unstable CAPE values between
1000-2000 J/kg and deep-layer shear on the order of 40 knots will
support continued updraft organization along with large hail and
strong winds. Although initially tied to the higher terrain,
thunderstorms are now moving off the terrain into the slightly
deeper moisture. This may enhance the wind and hail threat in the
short term before an overall weakening trend takes hold with the
loss of diurnal heating.

The overall limited spatial and temporal extent of thunderstorm
coverage will preclude the need for a watch.

..Marsh/Grams.. 05/24/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON 30260424 31180483 32010500 32580485 32220414 31570356
30400289 29900344 30260424



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ACUS11 KWNS 031419
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031418
TXZ000-031515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0513
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0918 AM CDT Fri May 03 2019

Areas affected...south Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 124...

Valid 031418Z - 031515Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 124
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm complex will continue to move
east-northeast into the greater Corpus Christi area. Strong
thunderstorm winds will be possible with this complex.

DISCUSSION...A remnant mesoscale convective vortex and associated
bowhead will continue to move east-northeast over the next few
hours. This thunderstorm complex will shortly move into and through
the Corpus Christi area, paralleling the coast, before eventually
moving out to sea. Strong, damaging thunderstorm winds will be the
main threat.

Farther south, the trailing edge of the main convective outflow from
the thunderstorm complex will remain somewhat stationary across
portions of far south Texas. This boundary may provide a focus for
additional thunderstorm initiation this afternoon, before eventually
devolving into the background temperature/moisture field.

..Marsh.. 05/03/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 28969764 29719713 30129692 29839641 29219632 28989660
28969764



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ACUS11 KWNS 031500
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031459 COR
TXZ000-031515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0513
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0959 AM CDT Fri May 03 2019

Areas affected...south Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 124...

Valid 031459Z - 031515Z

CORRECTED FOR ATTENTION AREA

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 124
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm complex will continue to move
east-northeast into the greater Corpus Christi area. Strong
thunderstorm winds will be possible with this complex.

DISCUSSION...A remnant mesoscale convective vortex and associated
bowhead will continue to move east-northeast over the next few
hours. This thunderstorm complex will shortly move into and through
the Corpus Christi area, paralleling the coast, before eventually
moving out to sea. Strong, damaging thunderstorm winds will be the
main threat.

Farther south, the trailing edge of the main convective outflow from
the thunderstorm complex will remain somewhat stationary across
portions of far south Texas. This boundary may provide a focus for
additional thunderstorm initiation this afternoon, before eventually
devolving into the background temperature/moisture field.

..Marsh.. 05/03/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...

LAT...LON 27349880 28069881 28059785 28179774 28129728 27689672
27299693 26889697 26279678 25939675 25989718 25859740
26039768 26049814 26259859 26769829 27339852 27349880



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