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ACUS11 KWNS 010219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010218
NDZ000-MTZ000-010315-
Mesoscale Discussion 0603
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0918 PM CDT Thu May 31 2018
Areas affected...Portions of southern/eastern MT and southwestern ND
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140...141...
Valid 010218Z - 010315Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140, 141
continues.
SUMMARY...An isolated severe wind and hail threat should continue in
the short term across WW 140 and WW 141. Additional watch issuance
in eastern MT and western ND is unlikely tonight.
DISCUSSION...The environment remains weakly unstable this evening
across southern/eastern MT into southwestern ND along/south of a
cold front. Strong mid-level southwesterly flow remains in place
over this region, with effective bulk shear values of 40-50+ kt
common. Any thunderstorms that persist in this environment may
continue to pose an isolated severe wind/hail threat in the short
term. But, continued diurnal cooling of the boundary layer should
result in a gradual lessening of instability and a related decrease
in the overall severe threat through the remainder of the evening.
Therefore, additional watch issuance appears unlikely tonight across
eastern MT/western ND.
..Gleason.. 06/01/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...
LAT...LON 46850857 47280606 46630411 46650219 46950140 46950077
46270056 46030067 45950191 45980321 45950408 45030406
45010793 45040888 46000898 46850857
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