• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0603

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, June 01, 2018 02:19:13
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    ACUS11 KWNS 010219
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 010218
    NDZ000-MTZ000-010315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0603
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0918 PM CDT Thu May 31 2018

    Areas affected...Portions of southern/eastern MT and southwestern ND

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140...141...

    Valid 010218Z - 010315Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140, 141
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe wind and hail threat should continue in
    the short term across WW 140 and WW 141. Additional watch issuance
    in eastern MT and western ND is unlikely tonight.

    DISCUSSION...The environment remains weakly unstable this evening
    across southern/eastern MT into southwestern ND along/south of a
    cold front. Strong mid-level southwesterly flow remains in place
    over this region, with effective bulk shear values of 40-50+ kt
    common. Any thunderstorms that persist in this environment may
    continue to pose an isolated severe wind/hail threat in the short
    term. But, continued diurnal cooling of the boundary layer should
    result in a gradual lessening of instability and a related decrease
    in the overall severe threat through the remainder of the evening.
    Therefore, additional watch issuance appears unlikely tonight across
    eastern MT/western ND.

    ..Gleason.. 06/01/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...

    LAT...LON 46850857 47280606 46630411 46650219 46950140 46950077
    46270056 46030067 45950191 45980321 45950408 45030406
    45010793 45040888 46000898 46850857



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