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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0928

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, June 28, 2018 23:23:13
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    ACUS11 KWNS 282323
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 282322
    FLZ000-GAZ000-290045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0928
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0622 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

    Areas affected...South-central Georgia into north-central Florida

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 282322Z - 290045Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible for the
    remainder of the afternoon. A WW is not currently anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...A line of outflow-dominated storms has been moving
    southward across the Georgia/Florida border due to the development
    of a modest cold pool. In addition, other isolated storms have
    initiated along sea-breeze boundaries. These storms continue to
    produce convective outflows which serve as lifting mechanisms for
    the continuance of more storms initiating throughout the evening.
    Marginally severe wind gusts associated with storm outflows are the
    primary concern.

    While ample buoyancy (driven primarily by a deeply moist airmass)
    may aid in sustaining current storms, bulk effective and low-level
    shear remain poor across the discussion area. Any severe threat that materializes will be brief and localized. In addition, convective
    trends are expected to wane by sunset as the boundary layer
    stabilizes. As such, a WW issuance is not anticipated at this time.

    ..Squitieri/Gleason/Edwards.. 06/28/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

    LAT...LON 29908446 30458491 30938476 31068398 31198261 31188166
    30718137 29818124 29098170 28898228 29418325 29798404
    29908446



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