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ACUS11 KWNS 260218
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260217
TXZ000-OKZ000-260345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0526
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0917 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

Areas affected...Western OK...Western North TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 121...

Valid 260217Z - 260345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 121
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts possible for the next hour or
so across western OK and adjacent portion of western north TX.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm moving across western OK has become
outflow dominant, evidenced by the linear structure and fast
southward progression. FDR VAD is currently reporting southeasterly
winds ahead of this system and the resulting moist inflow will
likely result in storm persistence for the next hour or so. Isolated
strong wind gusts are primary severe threat. Additional development
is not currently anticipated across the remainder of the watch area.

..Mosier.. 05/26/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 35000028 35399991 35469916 34439823 33299788 32939965
33460022 35000028



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ACUS11 KWNS 041352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041351
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-041515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0526
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0851 AM CDT Sat May 04 2019

Areas affected...Southern Louisiana to far southern Mississippi

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 129...

Valid 041351Z - 041515Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 129
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated severe risk in the form of locally damaging
winds and/or a brief tornado will continue to shift eastward across
southeast Louisiana toward coastal Mississippi. Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 129 will be allowed to expire at/by 15Z. While an additional
Watch to its east is not imminent/certain (40% probability),
convective trends will continue to be monitored.

DISCUSSION...A nearly continuous north/south-oriented line of
convection continues to progress east-northeastward across coastal south-central Louisiana, with other more discrete storms preceding
it. The 12Z observed sounding from LIX/Slidell LA sampled a moist
environment with a 1.83 PW and 15.4 g/kg mean mixing ratio. Although
cloud cover is prevalent ahead of the linearly organized convection,
inhibition should gradually erode as temperatures climb through the
upper 70s toward 80 F. This should allow for a gradual
intensification of updrafts/downdrafts, although currently observed
modest low-level/deep-layer shear may limit the overall
magnitude/certainty of the severe risk. While an additional Watch
issuance is not certain or imminent, areas including southeast
Louisiana and southern Mississippi will continue to be monitored for
an increasing damaging wind/tornado risk.

..Guyer.. 05/04/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 30549174 30929155 31199061 31278885 31228841 30518826
28938886 28349121 28529157 29739151 30369196 30549174



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