This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1527265339-1857-3474
Content-Type: text/plain

ACUS11 KWNS 251622
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251621
TXZ000-OKZ000-251845-

Mesoscale Discussion 0516
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

Areas affected...North Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 251621Z - 251845Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few strong wind gusts are possible as storms move south
across the area today, but severe weather is not expected.

DISCUSSION...A complex of storms with southward-surging outflow is
currently crossing the Red River into TX. These storms are not
severe as of 16Z, but have produced 30-40 mph wind gusts. Some
increase in intensity is possible this afternoon.

The 12Z FWD sounding shows around 3000 J/kg MUCAPE when modified for
current surface conditions. Although shear profiles are weak, storms
are expected to forward-propagate and maintain and/or increase
slightly. An isolated severe wind gust cannot be ruled out, but
severe coverage is not expected to warrant a watch at this time. In
addition to wind, marginal hail is possible as well given cool
temperatures aloft and substantial instability.

..Jewell/Hart.. 05/25/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 33709778 33749686 33889614 34109570 33539493 32829470
32139494 31779563 31849652 32209727 32719768 33099791
33259796 33709778



------------=_1527265339-1857-3474
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1527265339-1857-3474--

--- SBBSecho 3.04-Linux
* Origin: CCO BBS - capitolcityonline.net:26 (1:2320/105)

This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1556908006-1967-7939
Content-Type: text/plain

ACUS11 KWNS 031826
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031826
TXZ000-NMZ000-032100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0516
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0126 PM CDT Fri May 03 2019

Areas affected...Southeast New Mexico...West Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 031826Z - 032100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A large hail and wind damage threat is expected to develop
this afternoon. Weather watch issuance may be needed if storm
coverage ends up being great enough.

DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a 1006 mb low near El
Paso. A relatively moist airmass is located across the Pecos Valley
extending north-northeastward onto the Caprock. Surface winds are
backed to the southeast. Thunderstorms are expected to develop
across far southeast New Mexico and in west Texas over the next
couple of hours as low-level convergence increases on the western
edge of the moist airmass. In addition to moderate instability, the
RAP is analyzing a pocket of steep mid-level lapse rates from
southeast New Mexico into west Texas where 700-500 mb lapse rates
are estimated at 8.5 to 9.0 C/km. This along with moderate
deep-layer shear will be sufficient for supercells with large hail.
A wind damage threat is also expected. The most likely time for cell
initiation would be between 1900Z and 2000Z with the severe threat
persisting through the late afternoon and early evening.

..Broyles/Guyer.. 05/03/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON 29330190 30990158 32750166 33530181 33820199 34120227
34260279 34180313 33840341 33170370 32160374 31000353
29600373 29060303 29330190



------------=_1556908006-1967-7939
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1556908006-1967-7939--

--- SBBSecho 3.06-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)