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ACUS11 KWNS 142342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142341
NDZ000-MTZ000-150115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0737
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 PM CDT Thu Jun 14 2018

Areas affected...Northwest ND

Concerning...Tornado Watch 177...

Valid 142341Z - 150115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 177 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues across northwest ND...especially
near the international border.

DISCUSSION...Strong low-level warm advection appears to be the
primary forcing mechanism for deep convection along/just north of
the international border. Several longer-lived supercells have
progressed into southeast SK/southwest MB and this activity is
expected to focus along the border region into the late evening
hours. South of the warm front, higher-based convection has
struggled to develop across western ND. Several attempts at
sustained updrafts have failed and it's not entirely clear how
convection will evolve over the next few hours; although, storms
should eventually focus along the cold front as it surges into this
part of the watch. Greatest tornado threat should focus along the
Canadian border.

..Darrow.. 06/14/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...GGW...

LAT...LON 49030412 49800007 47539946 46760349 49030412



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