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ACUS11 KWNS 262017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262017
UTZ000-262215-
Mesoscale Discussion 0454
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0317 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2019
Areas affected...Central/Southern UT
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 262017Z - 262215Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts are possible for the next
several hours.
DISCUSSION...Amidst filtered sunshine and deep mixing, temperatures
have warmed into the 70s across much of central and southern UT.
This has eroded preceding convective inhibition and allowed for the
development of scattered thunderstorms. Instability is modest (i.e.
MLCAPE around 500 J/kg) and much of the region is displaced south of
the stronger flow aloft and vertical shear. Even so, unidirectional
wind profiles support quick storm motion and the steep low-level
lapse rates will aid in strengthening downdrafts. As such, sporadic
instances of strong wind gusts are possible. Isolated/marginal
nature of the severe threat will preclude the need for a watch.
..Mosier/Hart.. 04/26/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GJT...SLC...
LAT...LON 38611391 39751395 40661312 40621050 39430943 38120956
37391083 37331281 38101370 38611391
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