• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0254

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 23:24:32
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    ACUS11 KWNS 032224
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 032224
    OKZ000-TXZ000-040030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0254
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0524 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2019

    Areas affected...Texas Panhandle and Western Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36...

    Valid 032224Z - 040030Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms capable of large hail and gusty
    winds will continue to affect portions of the TX Panhandle and
    western OK.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar imagery shows multiple intense
    thunderstorms along an axis from west of Borger to northwest of
    Childress, TX. These storms have formed along a surface dryline,
    and in region of very steep midlevel lapse rates but limited moisture/instability. Despite the marginal thermodynamic
    environment, current trends and CAM guidance suggest the activity
    will maintain or increase intensity through the early evening as it
    tracks eastward at 25 knots. Supercell structures capable of large
    hail are the main concern, with the risk of locally damaging winds
    as storm outflow mergers and upscale growth occurs, and the
    low-level jet strengthens.

    ..Hart.. 04/03/2019

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 34370047 35900153 36300090 35990025 35369968 34549957
    34160012 34370047



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